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Let's Talk Tiebreakers: PBC Men's Soccer

With the final weekend of the PBC soccer regular season approaching, there is a lot still to be decided in the men’s soccer standings. With the PBC tournament looming, the seven men’s teams are set but just two seeds have been determined ahead of the regular season finale. 
This document breaks down all possible tiebreaks in the men’s soccer standings, ahead of the final weekend. The PBC Tournament bracket will be released following the conclusion of the final regular season games on Monday, October 26th.  

 
As it stands: 
Team Points Games Remaining
1 Flagler 28 2
2 North Georgia 22 0
3 Clayton State 13 2
4 Lander 12 2
5 Middle Georgia 11 1
6 USCA 10 1
7 GSW 5 2
 
Flagler has claimed the PBC Regular Season title and secured the #1 seed in the PBC Tournament. 
North Georgia has claimed the #2 seed in the PBC Tournament.
Clayton State currently sits at #3 with 13 points. The Lakers have two games remaining vs Middle Georgia and Lander. 
Lander currently sits at #4 with 12 points. The Bearcats have two games remaining vs Flagler and Clayton State. 
Middle Georgia currently sits at #5 with 11 points. The Knights have one game remaining vs Clayton State. 
USCA currently sits at #6 with 10 points. The Pacers have one game remaining vs Georgia Southwestern. 
Georgia Southwestern currently sits at #7 with 5 points. The Hurricanes have two games remaining vs USCA and Flagler.  

Before we begin the breakdown: 
  • If Clayton State wins vs Lander, they will secure the #3 seed. 
  • If Lander wins both games, they will secure the #3 seed.
  • If GSW tie or lose either or both games, they will remain in 7th place and receive the #7 seed in the PBC Tournament
 
#3 and #4 Seed Outcome: Lander, Clayton State tie
If Lander wins vs Clayton State and ties vs Flagler, and Clayton State wins vs Middle Georgia, both teams would be tied with 16 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. Lander and Clayton State tied the first game, but in order for this tie to occur, Lander would win the second game therefore Lander would have the upper hand in the tie. 
Therefore, if:
  • Lander wins vs Clayton State and ties vs Flagler
  • Clayton State wins vs Middle Georgia
Lander will receive the #3 seed and Clayton State would receive the #4 seed
 

 #3, #4, #5 Seed Outcome: Clayton State, Lander, Middle Georgia tie
If Clayton State and Lander tie, Lander ties with Flagler and Clayton State lose to Middle Georgia, all three teams would be tied with 14 points. 
The first step in the tiebreak process is head-to-head results. All three teams will enter a mini conference to determine their head-to-head results. 
The results required for this tie to occur have been included in the table below.
Clayton St Lander Middle Georgia
vs Clayton State - T, T L, W
vs Lander T, T - L, W
vs Middle Georgia W, L W, L -
Record 1-1-2 1-1-2 2-2
Points 5 5 6
 
Middle Georgia is no longer tied and would receive the #3 seed. 
Clayton State and Lander remain tied and would begin the tiebreak process with head-to-head results. 
  • In order for this three-way tie to occur, Clayton State and Lander would have tied their second game and have already tied their first 
  • Since both teams remain tied, the next step is to compare each team’s results vs the highest seed not involved in the tie and continue until the tie is broken.
  • Clayton State lost both games to Flagler, but Lander lost the first game and tied the second game with Flagler and have the upper hand in the tie
Therefore, if: 
  • Clayton State and Lander tie
  • Lander ties with Flagler
  • Clayton State loses to Middle Georgia
Middle Georgia will receive the #3 seed; Lander will receive the #4 seed and Clayton State will receive the #5 seed.
 

#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 1: Lander, USCA tie
If USCA win vs GSW, and Lander ties one game and loses one game, Lander and USCA would be tied with 13 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. USCA won both games vs Lander
USCA has the upper hand in the tie based on head-to-head results. 
 
#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 1: Clayton State, Lander, Middle Georgia, USCA
In order for Lander and USCA to be in a two-way tie, Lander would have either tied or lost to Clayton State, moving the Lakers to a minimum of 14 points. 
If Clayton State win or tie vs Lander and win or tie vs Middle Georgia, Clayton State would have a minimum of 15 points and Middle Georgia would have a maximum of 12 points. 
Therefore, if:
  • USCA win vs GSW
  • Lander ties one game and loses another
  • Clayton State win or tie vs both Lander and Middle Georgia
Clayton State will receive the #3 seed, USCA will receive the #4 seed, Lander will receive the #5 seed and Middle Georgia will receive the #6 seed
 

#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 2: Clayton State, Middle Georgia tie
If Middle Georgia win vs Clayton State, and Clayton State ties vs Lander, both teams would be tied with 14 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. Clayton State won the first matchup, but for this scenario to occur, Middle Georgia would win the second matchup. 
  •  Since both teams remain tied, the next step is to compare each team’s results vs the highest seed not involved in the tie and continue until the tie is broken.
  • Middle Georgia and Clayton State both lost both games vs Flagler, so we would move to the #2 seed
  • Middle Georgia lost both games vs North Georgia. Clayton State tied one game and lost the second vs North Georgia 
Clayton State has the upper hand in the tie based on their results vs North Georgia
 
#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 2: Clayton State, Lander, Middle Georgia, USCA
In order for Clayton State and Middle Georgia to be in a two-way tie, Lander would have either won or lost to Flagler. 
If Lander wins vs Flagler, they will have 16 points. 
Therefore, if:
  • Middle Georgia win vs Clayton State
  • Clayton State ties vs Lander
  • Lander win vs Flagler
Lander will receive the #3 seed; Clayton State will receive the #4 seed and Middle Georgia will receive the #5 seed.
However, if Lander loses vs Flagler and USCA wins vs GSW, Lander and USCA would be tied on 13 points with USCA winning the tiebreak as explained above.
Therefore, if:
  • Middle Georgia win vs Clayton State
  • Clayton State ties vs Lander
  • Lander lose vs Flagler 
  • USCA wins vs GSW
Clayton State will receive the #3 seed, Middle Georgia will receive the #4 seed, USCA will receive the #5 seed, and Lander will receive the #6 seed
 

#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 3: Clayton State, USCA tie
If USCA win vs GSW and Clayton State lose both games, Clayton State and USCA would be tied for 13 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. Clayton State won the first matchup, and they tied the second matchup
Clayton State have the upper hand in the tie based on head-to-head results
 
#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 3: Clayton State, Lander, Middle Georgia, USCA
If this occurs, Clayton State would lose to Lander, meaning Lander has at least one win out of two and have a minimum of 15 points. Clayton State would also lose to Middle Georgia, moving them to 13 points. 
Therefore, if:
  •  USCA win
  • Clayton State loses both games
Lander will receive the #3 seed, Middle Georgia will receive the #4 seed, Clayton State will receive the #5 seed, and USCA will receive the #6 seed.
 

#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 4: Lander, Middle Georgia tie
If Lander loses both games and Middle Georgia ties vs Clayton State, Lander and Middle Georgia would be tied with 12 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. Lander won the first matchup, and Middle Georgia won the second matchup
  • Since both teams remain tied, the next step is to compare each team’s results vs the highest seed not involved in the tie and continue until the tie is broken.
  • Middle Georgia and Lander both lost both games vs Flagler, so we would move to the #2 seed
  • Middle Georgia lost both games to North Georgia. Lander tied the first game and won the second game vs North Georgia
Lander has the upper hand in the tie based on their results vs North Georgia.
 
#3, #4, #5 and #6 Seed Outcome 4: Clayton State, Lander, Middle Georgia, USCA
If this occurs, Clayton State would win vs Lander, and tie with Middle Georgia leaving them with 17 points. 
Therefore if:
  • Lander lose both games
  • Middle Georgia ties vs Clayton State
  • USCA wins vs GSW
Clayton State will receive the #3 seed, USCA will receive the #4 seed, Lander will receive the #5 seed and Middle Georgia will receive the #6 seed
However, if:
  • Lander lose both games
  • Middle Georgia ties vs Clayton State
  • USCA ties or loses vs GSW
Clayton State will receive the #3 seed, Lander will receive the #4 seed, Middle Georgia will receive the #5 seed and USCA will receive the #6 seed
 

 #5, #6 and #7 Seed Outcome 1: Middle Georgia, USCA tie 
If USCA ties with GSW, and Middle Georgia lose vs Clayton State, USCA and Middle Georgia would be tied for fifth place with 11 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. Middle Georgia won both games vs USCA and therefore have the upper hand in the tie. 
Therefore, if:
  • USCA ties 
  • Middle Georgia loses
Middle Georgia will receive the #5 seed, USCA will receive the #6 seed and GSW will receive the #7 seed.
 

#5, #6 and #7 Seed Outcome 2: Georgia Southwestern, Middle Georgia tie
If Georgia Southwestern win both games vs USCA and Flagler, and If Middle Georgia lose vs Clayton State, GSW and Middle Georgia would be tied for fifth place with 11 points. 
  • The first step in the tie break process is head-to-head results. GSW and Middle Georgia tied both games, 1-1 and 0-0. 
  • Since both teams remain tied, the next step is to compare each team’s results vs the highest seed not involved in the tie and continue until the tie is broken.
  • Middle Georgia lost both games vs Flagler, GSW lost their first game vs Flagler, however in order for these two teams to be tied, GSW need to win vs Flagler in the final game, meaning GSW would have the upper hand in the tie break. 
Therefore, if:
  • GSW wins both games 
  • Middle Georgia loses
GSW will receive the #5 seed, Middle Georgia will receive the #6 seed and USCA will receive the #7 seed
 
 

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